NL Rookie Pitcher Gets All-Star Snub
Baseball Betting Lines
07/12/2010 -
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - For those of you still wrapped up in Strasburg-
mania, I have to regretfully inform you that he's not the pitcher referred to
in the above headline. As impressive as the Nationals' rookie has been, and as
much as I love his stuff, you just can't make the All-Star game with seven
starts under your belt.
The rookie pitcher who got the snub and has fallen under the national radar for
most of the season happens to pitch in the same city where Strasburg made his
name in college - San Diego. The Padres' surprising run to the top of the
National League West has been helped in great part by the right arm of twenty-
two year old Mat Latos. His mid-90's fastball, which explodes through the zone
to complement a plus curveball and slider, has made him awfully tough to hit.
After struggling in April, Latos has been nothing less than dominant, putting
up a 1.44 ERA over his last thirteen starts.
When you compare his numbers to Tim Lincecum and Yovani Gallardo, two of the
pitchers who were named to the National League squad, it's clear that Latos
deserved the nod.
Latos......10-4...2.45 ERA...0.97 WHIP....193 BAA
Lincecum....9-4...3.16 ERA...1.29 WHIP....232 BAA
Gallardo....8-4...2.58 ERA...1.26 WHIP....224 BAA
There's no doubt that Lincecum, with his back-to-back Cy Young awards, is the
more attractive selection for the mid-summer classic. But, based on the numbers
Latos was obviously the more deserving choice.
SECOND-HALF OUTLOOK
AL EAST: The Yankees are primed to eventually pull away from the Rays and Red
Sox. Boston has too many injuries and not enough production from the back end
of its rotation. And speaking of starting pitching, Tampa is not getting the
kind of production from James Shields, Matt Garza, and Wade Davis it needs to
stay in contention. The Rays must pitch well to stay within striking distance
of the Yankees, because their offense is nowhere near as good as New York's is.
AL CENTRAL: I think this will eventually turn into a two-team race between the
Tigers and White Sox. Outside of Carl Pavano, the Twins don't have a reliable
starter at this point. The White Sox suffered a tough blow by losing Jake Peavy
for the season, but Gavin Floyd, John Danks, Mark Buehrle, and Freddy Garcia
give Chicago the best rotation in the division. The Tigers' lineup, led by
triple-crown threat Miguel Cabrera and rookie sensation Brennan Boesch, is a
big reason why they trail the Sox by just a half game, but there are major
question marks in the starting rotation after Justin Verlander, Jeremy
Bonderman, and Max Scherzer.
AL WEST: The Rangers were clearly better than the Angels before the acquisition
of Cliff Lee, and following his addition should run away the with the division.
NL EAST: The Braves' pitching staff sets Atlanta apart from the rest of the
division. With quality throughout the starting rotation and Billy Wagner in
the pen to close games, the Braves have a decided advantage over the Phillies
and Mets. After Roy Halladay, Philadelphia doesn't have a reliable starter,
while the Mets are banking on a lot of unproven arms and have to have concerns
over Mike Pelfrey's recent struggles.
NL CENTRAL: The Reds have been one of the major surprises this season as they
take a one game lead over the highly-favored Cardinals into the break. I think
whatever team gets the better pitching at the back end of its rotation will end
up on top.
NL WEST: It's a four-team race heading into the second half. The Padres are
atop the division on the strength of great starting pitching and a very strong
bullpen, headed by All-Star closer Heath Bell. If San Diego's pitching holds
up, I have to give them the edge in the division, although it wouldn't hurt to
add a quality bat to its anemic lineup. The Rockies should provide the
stiffest competition, but it's hard to imagine Ubaldo Jimenez duplicating his
first-half performance after the break.
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NFL owners, already life's biggest winners, want to try their luck with the lottery.
That was the news out of their meetings last week, where team bosses voted unanimously to allow stamping state and local lottery tickets with franchise logos, if, ahem, any governments wanted to do a deal.
A shocker: Within days the Pats announced they'd be sponsoring the Massachusetts state lottery, the Skins said they'd slap their sticker on Virginia scratch-offs and the Ravens admitted they were talking to Maryland lottery bosses. In all likelihood, it won't be long before every team is a presenting sponsor of scratch-offs or just plain old pick fives. "The change in policy was approved 32-0," said NFL spokesman Greg Aiello. "So you can expect to see more deals soon."
It's a branding opportunity too big for the owners to ignore, and one a couple of dozen baseball franchises have enjoyed for years. The fact the NFL has been slower to act than those slack-brained Seligites is indicative of its complicated relationship with all forms of gambling. Consider this: Last Thursday, as the Pats and the Redskins finalized their new lottery deals, a lawyer representing the NFL argued before Delaware's Supreme Court that the state's newly signed sports betting law should be repealed.
The NFL betting is the face of opposition to sports gambling . And as much as it would like to share that responsibility with other leagues, that's not going to happen as long as more than 40% of all money legally wagered on games is bet on football. That's why the Brewers can do a multi-million dollar deal with a local casino, or the Celtics can make their own pact with the Mass lottery, and the response is, "Sweet, let's play." But when the NFL does it the stakes are higher, and everyone from NPR's Frank Deford to the Associated Press to the guys blogging at Deadspin will line up to play gotcha.
So I asked Aiello, who surely knew there'd be piling on, how the league can rail against being bait for sports bettors, then allow its franchises to be just that for lotteries, the most insidious and addictive form of gambling around. He emailed me this response: "We are not moral crusaders. NFL personnel are permitted to engage in legal forms of gambling, except for betting on NFL games. We are making a distinction here between the spread of gambling on the outcome of our games and supporting state lottery scratch-off games, that have nothing to do with the outcome of our games."
Here's where I should rip him. But, the thing is, he's right. Not to get Obama on you, but this is a complicated, nuanced issue. As much as lotteries are considered a tax on the poor, the NFL isn't a socially obligated government program -- it's just a business. Scratch-off's help the bottom line, sports betting doesn't.
Now, it's okay to call the league hypocritical when it releases injury reports, which players have told me only helps bettors … But when it supports other forms of gaming? Big Deal.
Now, it's okay to call the league hypocritical when it releases injury reports, which players have told me only helps bettors. And it's okay to mutter something obscene when the league pretends gambling doesn't help drive TV ratings and fan interest and put money in owners' pockets. But when it supports other forms of gaming? Big Deal. The Bears should put an orange "C" on every deck of cards dealt at Harrah's in Joliet; the Eagles should slap their logo on roulette wheels at the Borgata in Atlantic City; the Dolphins should hold training camp at the El San Juan in Puerto Rico.
Seriously.
The NFL's problem, when it comes to the gambling world, isn't hypocrisy, it's worse: The bosses lack vision. That's why the league is picking unwinnable fights in Delaware and taking pot shots from critics after making smart sponsorship deals. Roger Goodell and his gang are acting and thinking locally rather than globally, which is rare for them, especially compared to their professional (and amateur) counterparts.
The NBA held its All Star game in Las Vegas and David Stern's kingdom didn't crumble (although the town did bring plenty of players to their knees.) I'd say it's 6 to 5 and pick 'em that Lebron will make a road swing through Sin City before his career is over.
Even the NCAA College Football Betting is more progressive on this issue than the NFL. Several years ago Rachel Newman Baker, college sports' gambling czar, opened a dialogue with Vegas bookmakers to learn about how they do business. She's visited Nevada sports books, studied their operations and listened to how they regulate action. Now she knows she can expect a call from bookmakers, who lose money when sports are fixed, if they think something sketchy is going on in NCAA games. She's not in favor of sports betting, but, as she once told me, "I know it's not going away, either."
The NFL can't seem to accept that. And until it can find peace with the idea, it'll get flack, even when it's right.
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