Warriors' sale could mean tough sell for NBA in upcoming CBA fight
Basketball Betting Lines
07/16/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - There is an adage in politics - never
let a serious crisis go to waste.
In these tough economic times, rank and file workers across America have
never been more suspicious of management.
Most agree that the world's largest economy is not running on all cylinders
right now and some even argue that it's come off the tracks completely, but
most middle class employees can't help but get the feeling that management is
using a bad situation to take advantage of them by scaling back on benefits
and salary.
That kind of suspicion is about the only thing NBA players have in common with
the middle class.
Since the league instituted a salary cap in 1984, it has grown from $3.6
million per team to a staggering a $57.7 million last season. In turn, player
salaries have exploded, climbing from an average of $330,000 in '84 to $5.2
million by 2007-08. The numbers have stagnated a bit since then, but the
average NBA salary has stayed above the $5 million mark.
That growth had the NBA crying poverty at every turn when the economy went
south. Before the 2008-09 season, commissioner David Stern slashed 9 percent
of his office staff in New York and played hardball with his officials,
gaining significant reductions in the referees' retirement packages after
threatening a lockout.
During the NBA's annual owners meeting in Las Vegas, buried among all the
hoopla over the "Summer of LeBron," Stern claimed his league lost a combined
$370 million thanks to the recession, a figure NBA Players Association
executive director Billy Hunter balked at.
With the current collective bargaining agreement between the NBA and its
players set to end on June 30, 2011, Hunter thinks Stern is using fuzzy
math in an attempt to control salaries and make other changes to the CBA.
"David's numbers are unfounded," Hunter told ESPN. "It's a severe
exaggeration."
Stern cited slowing ticket sales in some markets and a hit in both television
and merchandising revenue to back his claim, while Hunter pointed to the
league's overall increase in ticket sales and a much-increased television
audience for the NBA playoffs to bolster his case.
Recent empirical evidence supports Hunter and the players.
A doom-and-gloom prediction by the NBA that predicted the salary cap would
decrease from $57.7 million to $50.4 million in 2010 was way off and the
league announced that the cap would actually increase next season to $58
million, a development that actually upset a number of the league's owners,
who were taken by surprise.
"As soon as we get it, we spend it," Stern said of the league's still solid
revenue streams. "That is the current system. We try to compete. Our fans
love that. So we'd like to keep the league as competitive as possible, give
all of our teams the opportunity to tell their fans they have a chance to win,
and have some profit in it for the owners."
Those same owners are continuing to spend at a breakneck pace despite the sour
economy and Stern's moribund words, giving even pedestrian players like Chris
Duhon and Hakim Warrick big paydays.
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors, not exactly the gold standard in the
league, are set to sell for a record price. The Warriors. who were a
disappointing 26-56 last season, are a lot closer to the Los Angeles Clippers
than the Los Angeles Lakers or Boston Celtics, but that didn't stop an
investment group led by Joseph Lacob to pony up a record price $450 million
for the franchise, exceeding the $401 million Robert Sarver needed to buy the
Phoenix Suns in 2004.
Both sides are distrustful of each other and are hunkering down and preparing
for the worst work stoppage since the 1998-99 lockout.
"I'm preparing for a lockout right now, and I haven't seen anything to change
that notion," Hunter said.
Don't expect Stern, a master negotiator, to blink and let this crisis go to
waste.
"I don't know how many collective bargainings I've participated in over the
last too many years," the commissioner said. "We've thus far only had one
failure to reach a deal in 1998. And many of the others have started out
poorly, had predictions of doom and gloom, et cetera. You just keep on
plugging. I think we've got a long way to go, but we have a lot of time to get
there. That's the optimism
"Judging from (the players') proposal, which basically embraces the current
system, we haven't closed any gap yet. But we're going to be resilient and
prepared to spend the time necessary to see whether there's a deal to be had
here, and we're going to do it for as long as possible."
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BILLS (+10) at Steelers SPORTSBOOK LINES
It's impossible to gauge how a team will react after something like the Steve Everett situation, and it probably doesn't matter. That being said, the Bills are going to lose several games this year where they keep things close but fall short in the end to superior teams. Ben Roethlisberger and company could have a field day against Buffalo's decimated defense, but I like the Bills to cover.
BENGALS (-7) at Browns SPORTSBOOK LINES
All you can ask out of your NFL team is that it has a plan. You may not always agree with it as a fan, but as long as it appears the organization is going in some sort of direction, you have to go with it. Which brings us to the Cleveland Browns. You flip a coin to determine whether Chuck Frye or Derek Anderson should start the preseason opener. You start Frye in Week 1, but pull him in the first half. And then you deal him to the Seahawks for a sixth-round pick? Hmm... the Bengals could get six turnovers again this week.
COLTS (-7) at Titans SPORTSBOOK LINES
Tennessee signed ex-Colts cornerback Nick Harper in the offseason so that should help slow down Peyton Manning. Just ask Jason David and the Saints. Oh wait... One of these weeks, I'm going to learn to not pick against Tennessee, which has won seven of its last eight games. But it's not happening against Indy.
TEXANS (+6.5) at Panthers SPORTSBOOK LINES
Houston's Mario Williams, the first pick in the '06 draft, has more touchdowns than Reggie Bush after one week. Somehow I don't see that lasting. Meanwhile, Carolina bottled up what was expected to be a pretty high-octane offense in St. Louis in Week 1. Could this be the Panthers' defense everyone expected last year? Maybe. This feels like a 20-16 Carolina win.
RAMS (-3) vs. 49ers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Absolutely love this game. Everyone's favorite pick for this year's surprise team -- the 49ers -- laid an egg on Monday night (not that anyone was watching with the game ending in the middle of the night for those of us on the East Coast). St. Louis wasn't much better, delivering a lackluster effort against the Panthers that included two Steven Jackson fumbles and panic from his fantasy owners. Jackson rebounds this week, and the Rams get their first win.
PACKERS (+1.5) at Giants SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Do you really trust this guy to win an NFL game if Eli Manning can't go? I say no. I'd feel alot better about this Packers team if it had any semblance of a running game, but I still think Green Bay's defense is good enough to give it a 2-0 start.
JAGUARS (-10) vs. Falcons SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Does it scare me to pick Jacksonville to cover a double-digit spread after it scored just 10 points last week against the Titans? Absolutely. But can I bring myself to pick Atlanta under any circumstances? No. Check out this poll on ajc.com. It asks what Atlanta's most urgent deficiency is: offense, defense, specials teams or all of the above. "All of the above" has 57 percent of the votes. Ouch.
SAINTS (-3) at Buccaneers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
I'm picking way too many road teams this week. Oh well. New Orleans has had some time to reflect on its lackluster showing in the opener, and the Buccanneers just aren't a very good football team. Anyone else surprised Tampa Bay hasn't made a move to sign Byron Leftwich? I thought that's what they do.
VIKINGS (+3) at Lions SPORTS BETTING LINES
Run the ball and stop the run. Minnesota can do both, and that will keep them in a lot of games this season. Even though it was only one week, Adrian Peterson looks like he was a steal at No. 7 in last year's draft. Not only will he produce, but Peterson delivers excitement to what otherwise would be one of the league's most boring teams.
DOLPHINS (+3.5) vs. Cowboys SPORTS BETTING LINES
Lost in the Tony Romo lovefest is just how bad the Cowboys' defense was last week. I know they're banged up, but Dallas' 'D' allowed 438 yards to the Giants' offense, and backup running back Derrick Ward averaged 6.8 yards per carry. Meanwhile, Cam Cameron's decision to split carries between Ronnie Brown and Jesse Chatman sounds about as can't-miss as Larry David's plan to show up to Marty Funkhouser's party a night late. Still, gotta go with Miami to cover at home.
SEAHAWKS (-2.5) at Cardinals SPORTS BETTING LINES
I'm probably missing something, but this game seems too easy. Arizona blew Monday night's game against the 49ers in typical Cardinals fashion, and the Seahawks beat Tampa Bay by two touchdowns. Love Seattle in this one.
BRONCOS (-9.5) vs. Raiders SPORTS BETTING LINES
Special teams was a major story line in Week 1. Take a look at the Broncos. They had to rush on to the field to get a Jason Elam field goal as time expired against the Bills. Denver drove into Buffalo territory on eight of 10 drives but came away with just a pair of field goals and a touchdown. Look for more scoring from the Broncos this week against an Oakland defense that gave up 36 points to Detroit in Week 1.
BEARS (-12) vs. Chiefs SPORTS BETTING LINES
Everyone talks about Rex Grossman when dissecting the Bears' offense, but Chicago's quarterback got no help in last week's loss to the Chargers. Meanwhile, Kansas City confirmed what we all thought while watching Hard Knocks: The Chiefs are going to stink this year. It could be a rough first month for Larry Johnson fantasy owners. Kansas City's RB was limited to 43 yards on 10 carries in Week 1, and the Chiefs face the Bears, Vikings and Chargers the next three weeks, all formidable run defenses.
RAVENS (-10) vs. Jets SPORTS BETTING LINES
A big dose of Willis McGahee and a usual sound defensive effort will give the Ravens their first win. According to Football Outsiders, no team in the NFL rushed only three defenders on pass plays last year more than the Jets. And according to my special Jets correspondent Ben Stauber, New York did the same in Week 1. Whoever starts at quarterback for the Ravens should have all day to throw.
PATRIOTS (-3) vs. Chargers
Friends and I were discussing how Bill Belichick goes about paying his $500,000 fine for cheating. Does he just write one check to the NFL? Do you need some sort of clearance to make such a monstrous financial transaction? I guess I shouldn't complain about the security deposit I have to put down on my new apartment. Anyway, two of the league's best teams square off in what should be a good one Sunday night. The Patriots always respond well just when you think they're in trouble. And their offensive attack was the story in Week 1.
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting.
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